Galtieri defends senior thesis

Jeremy Galtieri ’11 successfully defended his senior thesis. Galtieri, advised by Prof. Vincent Moscardelli, wrote “Political Scandal and Its Effect on Electoral Outcomes in the U.S. House of Representatives.” (pictures below)

Abstract: “My research analyzes the effect political scandal has on U.S. House incumbent vote margin for the 1984, 1986, 2006 and 2008 elections. To do this, I use a modified version of Alan Abramowitz’s 1991 House election outcome model, which controls for the effect of 13 independent variables on the dependent variable, incumbent vote margin. I find that over this timeframe, scandal reduced incumbent vote margin by roughly nine percentage points. I also break scandal out by type, and find that moral scandals cost Republicans 13.71 percentage points, while financial scandals cost Democrats 15.06 percentage points. Though these findings seem substantial, I ultimately conclude that scandal’s impact is diluted for two main reasons. First, this model only accounts for incumbents running for reelection, and therefore does not include those incumbents who get caught in scandal and then strategically retire or resign. This removes some of the best examples of scandal from the analysis, and therefore reduces my ability to capture the entire effect of scandal. Second, as districts have become safer over time, scandal has less of an ability to remove the wrong-doers. This signals a problem with the United States’ democratic system in holding representatives accountable for their actions.”

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This entry was posted in American Politics, Moscardelli, Undergraduate. Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to Galtieri defends senior thesis

  1. Marge Galtieri says:

    Congratulations Jeremy!! We are so proud of you. All your hard work has been rewarded. Wishing you continued success at Deloitte!! Mom

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